March 24, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Split Tens | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dontblamerocket | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Roman Approval | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Camp Creek | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dot Matrix | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patrick’s Day | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Turf Titan | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Crescent Drive | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | War Daddy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boyd Crowder | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Crescent City Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Testing One Two | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Saints’ Girl | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remember Daisy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Blessing | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap Dance Star | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Diva | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thegrayspider | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Costa Rising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Queeten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Friend Flavin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wonder Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | Monte Man | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Rock N Sake | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stand Him Up | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trust Factor | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Win Lion Win | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | B B Special | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Snipe’s | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Yankee | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Forerun | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hawaiian Appeal | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laughingsaintssong | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Making a Marc | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Right Hand | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marmello | 50.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stuart Hall | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Satellite | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boru | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Esken | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Dog Dare | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Offense | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Bad Habit | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Bag of Money | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – New Orleans Ladies Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Splash Hit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mom’s On Strike | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Five Hearts | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sully’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Charged | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vagabond Princess | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Reunion | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mannerly | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Duchess | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Crescent City Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stryker Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Greeley Went West | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | In Charge Halo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Exigent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Gladyousawme | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Pound for Pound | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Battle At Sea | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Gracida | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Ready Prospector | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Grand Luwegee | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Treys Midnite Moon | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Double Star | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Uncle Nearis | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | La Flor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Salty Scatt | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Accuse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Maybe Wicked | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | More Fun Again | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aspening | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ruthless Child | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Arithmetic | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crackling Bread | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizaprincessa | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Querceta | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hayworth | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Real Sister | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Moon | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Better Data | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sundereya | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New Orleans H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Leofric | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Good Samaritan | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Player | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scuba | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Han Sense | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Handsome | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Muniz Memorial H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Misunderstood | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forge (GB) | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ring Weekend | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Revved Up | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Synchrony | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucullan | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danish Dynaformer | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galton | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Mean Man | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arklow | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zulu Alpha | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Fair Grounds Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Testing One Two | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Patrona Margarita | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Wonder Gadot | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Chocolate Martini | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Act | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eskimo Kisses | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | America’s Tale | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saguaro Row | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s a Julie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Boy Jack | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snapper Sinclair | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bravazo | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Indy | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lone Sailor | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dark Templar | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hyndford | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Retirement Fund | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Givemeaminit | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marmello | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tap City Danzer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Maddy’s Pro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ryd a Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Concert | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Krafty Boy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | In the Navy | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Dapper Jack | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marco Mischief | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sand Pit Road | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ole Skip Rope | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Star | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fire Lake | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pink’s Honor | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Twice a Rebel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miso Smooth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Cole War | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sunny Sister | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Choose This Dance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Alivia’s Lion | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zarba’s Charm | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Southern Wind | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Actif Storm | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elle Les Yu | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kylie’s Cutie | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sorcerer’s Appeal | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rosada’s Rose | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Moronette | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ide Be Silly | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Old Hat | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mikey’s Mouse | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Doug’s Bug | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Custom Bling | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Father George | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | A Higher Wager | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Scalpel Please | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | From Now On | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leftfieldjunction | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Half Blink | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ash Tax | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Dude | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dickie Do Wrong | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Blinkey | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Assembly | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Church of England | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.