March 24, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ransom Note | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Hitter | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mineralogy | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Casigordo | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Roast | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Empire (GB) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gift Box | 0.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Virtual Machine | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carradine | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fox Rules | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Undulated | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Reign Charger | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ballard High | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Everybody Loves Me | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Throw the Fade | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Metaphorical | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Blinded Vision | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Never Nevermore | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Maddie May S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Breezy Gal | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Split Time | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Super Nova | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cause We Are Loyal | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Under Suspicion | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wushu Warrior | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Merger of Banks | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anything Pazible | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Hot Rocks | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cantakeitanymore | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Freudian Analyst | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Giant Rubies | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Just Bustin | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nucks | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buss the Bell | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mickey T | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | This Cat Can Fly | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imaginar | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masta Ace | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alex’s Lemon Twist | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Vow Is Lit | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holycowits Patrick | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ucantcatchmybreath | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scottish Devil | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Banker’s Island | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Regere | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Truly a Moon Shot | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Want Mo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shamrocked | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wrong Ben | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Frozen Angel | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lightning Buzz | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Source Control | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Honor and Pleasure | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alexander David | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Miss My Father | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | California Swing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 7 | Tiz No Bluff | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | New Moon | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Big Or Go Home | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cookie Crisp | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sumner | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brianbakescookies | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Rider | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missle Bomb | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Breeze Burner | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rock Doc | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ethan Hunt | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Caretaker | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Macho | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Altesino | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | We Were Kings | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bear Clause | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Side Tracks | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Buddy | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grassady | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sweeping Vista | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Three Goals | 1.20 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carmine’s Honor | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leading Storm | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Giant Boo Boo | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frost Z | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trinni Juice | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Last Chant | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Casa Rae | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Won’t Be Missed | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.