March 17, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Eagle | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Noivo (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Jungle Warfare | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Onde Ah Mo | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Englander | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Big Bad Gary | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Negro Lucero | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Lassie | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Go Girl Gone | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Swallows Inn Gal | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mi Pajarito | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cow Dog | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Rahy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Complete Discreet | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tengs Wonder | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Barton | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Val | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Irish O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Sunset | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Steel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | How About Zero | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barbara Beatrice | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cuddle Alert | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starlite Style | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Omdurman | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Full Access | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chromium | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here and There | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heir of Storm | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drummer (GER) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finallygotabentley | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Limited Response | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Bang | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dark Energy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lauren’s Ladd | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Miner’s Light | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Curly’s Waterfront | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sagittari | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bacoli | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Like Rhett | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mr. Twinery | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pampers n’ Boots | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lord Admiral | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Make It a Triple | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easter Morn | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Swiss Minister | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Junior Gilliam | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Native Treasure | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trickonomics | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Will Tell | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jay Makes Us Laugh | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seattle Encounter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Two Hail Marys | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Johnny Ray | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Write Me a Song | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Schooley | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jerry’s Thunder | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lil Milo | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Duke of Fallbrook | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yes I’m Ready | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Git On Your Pulpit | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King Darius | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pasadena S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pubilius Syrus | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ax Man | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Inscom | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Boyne (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Heck Yeah | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | La La Land (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Equity | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Ascent | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buckstopper Kit | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Santa Margarita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mopotism | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Force (GER) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Heat | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fault | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mended | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bishop’s Pond | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mistressofthenight | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turkish Tabby | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dalsaros | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eccentric Spinster | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coil Me Home | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fashionably Fast | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Gronk | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Famous Rock Star | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Owner | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gringo Star | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Your Grace | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ultimate Bango | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Wager | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamic Duo | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Gladiator | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.