March 17, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Starship Wildcat |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tell Me a Story |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mai Ty One On |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go Cristian Go |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tale of Kantharos |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Monday Pirate |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Boss |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Exonerated Rule |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Y’all |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Miss Casuarina |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Charming Emmy |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Tiz Priceless |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Forlove |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Super Duper Girl |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Golden Alina |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lucille Bull |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Howdy Boy |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Claret Jug |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Robert |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Amplify |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Mac |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Alperes |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mac Creiche |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Global Hero |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Amace |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coxswain |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Boy Bruno |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pair Pair Tie |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Unspoken Quality |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Donegal Hall |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Favorite Heir |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Rhythm Park |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Racings My Game |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Megeve |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Performance Bonus |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Fever |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Weeza Gone Gray |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Starship Rocky |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prue |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sol Dat Sugar |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rethinkme |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Adios Mia |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Somewhatoptimistic |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Candy Blu |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Jak |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Duquesita de Alba |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tinca’s Bird |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sunset Empire |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Two Diamonds |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Laguna Dream |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Night Rythm |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Woodburn |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Too Wild to Repent |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uncle Tbone |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Love My Cotton |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hail to Victory |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Atizapan |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Doolittle Raiders |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dattts Arties Boy |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Scrapper |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Candygram |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
First Commander |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Central Command |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hitmewthurbestshot |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Goldenlion |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bueno Bueno Bueno |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fast Talking |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Elite Heir |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bill’s Legacy |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fallen Leaf |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mistress Ofthedark |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Missimard |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Can’tcatchtheraxx |
1.20 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flying Queen |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dancing Gia |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cowtown Jane |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
My Brothersledge |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Solid |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sniper Kitten |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Say the Word |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Green Mo’ster |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Divide |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silent Jet |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
Teryn It Up |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Redoute’s Light |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blacksburg |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Princess Power |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Inside Information S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ivy Bell |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moonlit Promise |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rich Mommy |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mines and Magic |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jordan’s Henny |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Be Kind |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Collar |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Carbon Data |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Give to U. K. Cats |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Trouble in Phoenix |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
12 |
11 |
Uncle Gio |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Cruz Diez |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Biloxi Bay |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Archer Road |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Your Only Man |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mohican |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Appa |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
Porter Street |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Could Be |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Dancer’s Edge |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Sahara Storm |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Robusto |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tracking Stock |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fuel the Bern |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coco Is Loco |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Milo Diamond |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roars More |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Son of Greatness |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tide of the Desert |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gods Greatness |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Omened By |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Knight Errant |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.