March 15, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Star Too | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jack’s Gray Girl | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charzee Baby | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pinky Promise | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red La Rosa | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Bombshell | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Musket Man’s Broad | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Commanding Action | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hopeful Joy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Kingdom | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Luxe | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lookin At Grace | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Loves Leather | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bettyblue | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dramatic Act | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Maximus Dan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Alittlevodka | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hideaway Hero | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pocket Player | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Boundaries | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Mountain | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Harry | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out of the Office | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Apparition | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunrise Hawk | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Estrella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Tom and Ed’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thats Roger Song | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Indian Bayou | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Putsumdirtonit | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roman Bird | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | That’s a Song | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lil Miss Grey | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Reese’s Glory | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Toni’s Vow | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fantasy Frills | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baby Collette | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Majestic Grace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Touch of Gray | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Glory Train | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miss Mercken | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Make It Run | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Silver Ears | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dot Notation | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Splashing | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Peace Treaty Pat | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Holiday Storm | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super’s X E | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Biblical Strength | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lucky Cal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Smoothforthemoney | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Tale of Beaucette | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Improviser | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aurora’s Kid | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Draxhall Woods | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raising Rumors | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Envoy | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | What a Image | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gray Ransom | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Collin’s Mystery | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | E Lee | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Claymaker | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Small | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fiesta Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tiz Cecile | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Drane Fame | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Windy City Girl | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosebud’s Hope | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nothing But Tom | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curlabella | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Entry | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Aspiration | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Red Tide | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caribbean Soul | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfectly Precious | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Always Enuff | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Bernardina | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | How Sweet It Is | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Plain Jane | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirteen Songs | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Socks | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Lucky Break | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Fashion Affair | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellashoo | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | C Islandsurprise | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lunar Approach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Blasted Boss | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Time to Flirt | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shes Trickey | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lola’s the One | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Longwing Lily | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canny | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Some Say So | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Havana Dream | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love On Tides | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thora Barber (GB) | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galilea | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tee Shaw | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tattle Tail Sue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Moment of Grace | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Skipping Light | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Song of Dixie | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Top Figure | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Golden Girl | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Costa Sugar | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom for Corales | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caroline Conquest | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Guretta | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.