March 11, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Nothing But Heat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I Adore You | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Irish Lassie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Feeling the Heat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Married by Now | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Super Patriot | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Radish | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Inland Empire | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | South Boot Shirley | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Gone | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Biscotti Gal | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Kathy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Cinnamon Toast | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summer Down Now | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | All Net | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Q T | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dee Way to Go | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Soul | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bragging Rights | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jewelof California | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jane’s Revenge | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bold Papa | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kings River King | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Six Point Rack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Closing Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Violent Ridge | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | George From Tahoe | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Raven Creek | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Lymebyrd | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fast as Cass | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardboot | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Miracle March | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Croissant | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | We All Have Dreams | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Steps Faster | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cyrielle | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vinaka | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smoovie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mela Jones | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mojgan | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pacific Kitty | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curly’s Rocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | All Out Blitz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Equity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Justify | 0.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Shivermetimbers | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Pepe Tono | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tap Fever | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Calexman | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Scatterling (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Charming Starlet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kennedie Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rosie My Rosie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Salsita | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wonderful Lie | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lookinforadanger | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Giant Mongolian | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winner’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Scattagirl | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Kendra | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adios Cali | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carrie | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kochees | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Drummer (GER) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Airfoil | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Well Measured | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Top Brass | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matriculate | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awe | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classico | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Valor | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dadtaughtmewell | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sensational Star S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Anatolian Heat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tony Blackjack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chief Hosa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy Bouncer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fly to Mars | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Richard’s Boy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Masochistic | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | B Squared | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Smokey Image | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tough Sunday | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Solid Wager | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Milton Freewater | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tribal Storm | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Brandothebartender | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Outa Here | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Friendly Request | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Reckless Charm | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Princess Dorian | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quiet No More | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sharp Holiday | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Velvet Jones | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lovely Linda | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Majestic Diva | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Napper Tandy | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Diamond Proof | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dixie Crystal | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.