March 11, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Miss Aliphant |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Michelle’z Laugh |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thanks Mom |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wolf Eyes |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beacon of Light |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fast Girl |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s No Joke |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Red Sails |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Reba’s Right |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Making Havoc |
1.40 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Coventry |
1.80 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jamie’s Dancer |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nile Princess |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lago Lindo |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Stalwart |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dancer’s Edge |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
One of a Kind |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Mr. Papillon |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Slaimy |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Rythmofsimmard |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Captain Kitt |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Menehune |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Leroi’s Gem |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Plein Air |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Specialcnsydration |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Court Central |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Untrue |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Final Flurry |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hansen’s Girl |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bossyatta |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magic Two |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Galatians |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mintz |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crafty Jack |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shackled |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Autostrade |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
D Squared |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dublin Tinker |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Top Hat City |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arpinella |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tres Huevos |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Offshore Trip |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mongolian Party |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Our Boss |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wild Force |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gitgo |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
King Wildcat |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Burton |
1.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Switchblade |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
We Take Checks |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Rider of the Blue |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ovetchkin Jagr |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfect Bonus |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Glitz |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Too Charming |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Joy of Treasure |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kensington |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shamrock Babe |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Plans to Prosper |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Memorabilia |
4.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
In the Moonlight |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
August Snow |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Iris Dancer |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lalibela |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Amazing Audrey |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dayfa |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Devilish Romance |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Luna Lunita |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Summer Luck |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mischievous Champ |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Lace |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Farcical Feline |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Arthemisa |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Duchess of Duke |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss O’Hara |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
11 |
10 |
Aquemini |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rose Velvet (IRE) |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
9 |
No Fault |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
First Distinction |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ventina |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fiore |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Poopsie Doopsie |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Milbra |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sherry Angel |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Loving Valentina |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mighty Patient |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Shanghai Shuffle |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cry Uncle |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nth Degree |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Honored Promise |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trickizar |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
East Moon |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gemini |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Mimosa |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Pao |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
The Hardest Way |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Barry Karafin Bets |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cowboy’s Hero |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Adulation |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uno Mas Modelo |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Asterisk |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Malibu Action |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Givonna’s Magic |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Chocolate Candy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Rocket Queen |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Top Dollar Nana |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Momenta Kat |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Captain Carol |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
6 |
Prospectively |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Amor Elvira |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Way Over Budget |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Christianity |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.