March 11, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Why Joey Why | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Domino Run | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neon Sky | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tune My Guitar | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hansen’s Holiday | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Personal Double | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tender Fender | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scarlet’s Causeway | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Paper Over Plastic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Lovemelikeyoudo | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hard Headed Woman | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mix and Mingle | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Peloncillo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Movie Date | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sky Trail | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spartanburg | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Our Frosty | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Air Guitar Star | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quarter Carat | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lurey An | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Causation | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toodaloo to You | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Summer | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anytime Baby | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Little Red Kid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Piranha Tough | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vapor Viper | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Autumn Flirt | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy City | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Hermano T K | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | It’s a Sweet One | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tee’s Black Irish | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Lucky Move | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jami Racer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Resonate | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’ Platinum | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mizzen Colony | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Staytruetodagame | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carolina Honey | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Patriot | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sea Vow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vastjesus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Bam Bam Bryan | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | My Pal Torres | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Mister | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theoryintopractice | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tammany Parkway | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Bandit | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just Move On | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | No Distortion | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rich Daddy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shut the Box | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jess I Am | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aces High | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Your Nickel | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cooptado (ARG) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guest Suite | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Turf Titan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Camp Creek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Patrick’s Day | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Souperfast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Roman Approval | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Rapid Red | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Resiliency | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Esposito | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Firey Speech | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Curlins Vow | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zinger | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Bammmeister | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cowboy Don | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Warrior Inside | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Catauga County | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No Limit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Nono | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Impish Babe | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cash Ticket | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Landonese | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Change | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steelman Ridge | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Rocks Cry Out | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mommy’s Soldier | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.