March 10, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pretentious | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bartleby | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heart in Hand | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danebury | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Incorporate | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three to Thirteen | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full of Mine | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quai Voltaire | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blame Us All | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Acoustic | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Alfred | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cheyenne Bull | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Javelin | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glennrichment | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Micozzi | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beyond the Green | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Terry O Geri | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mineralogy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cause for Surprise | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Power Nap | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Fleet Attitude | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bluegrass Prevails | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shuffle Up | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bigshotinthenews | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milo Milo (ARG) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lyrical Miracle | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ransom Note | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy’s Home | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alum | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adirondack Dream | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gun for Hire | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Scout | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hamptons Holiday | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Facade | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor and Pleasure | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Miss My Father | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Independent Worker | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Auburn Avenue | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Proletariat | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | H Man | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ethan Hunt | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cody’s Notes | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Mission | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rossie Val | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Heart | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Formal Start | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Crossways | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Speke | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Collective Effort | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hokulea | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon Did It | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Guy | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Cross | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Santo Antonio | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holycowits Patrick | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scrutinize | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knockin Em Back | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Stymie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Harlan Punch | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vulcan’s Forge | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Securitiz | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watershed | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backsideofthemoon | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fellowship | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hit It Once More | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Frost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bishop’s Pond | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Inconclusive | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Divine Miss Grey | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Highway Star | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Boule | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Holiday Disguise | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Frost Wise | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tom Fool H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Favorite Tale | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Stuff | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Do Share | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Class | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Threefiveindia | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Life in Shambles | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spartiatis | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Candid Desire | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Green Gratto | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gotham S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Firenze Fire | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Enticed | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free Drop Billy | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dial Operator | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Old Time Revival | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Shot | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cove Blue | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nine Route | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.