March 9, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Byanymeans | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Imaginary Image | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Iona Star | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oxford Comma | 1.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swanky | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mila’s Gold | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moreta | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ojos Corazon | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fine N On Time | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pearl of Laredo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Muskarella | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exotic Sin | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Party | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ulm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Yes Babe | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sandy’s Wager | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Pal Viv | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mamadancesinthesky | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Smart Cat | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honest Scarlet | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Intimidators Girl | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Dixie K | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deep End | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | East Lee | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Wanna Snuggle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Delightful Soul | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Honest Woman | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Prayer | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Redding Well | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodbee | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Valentine | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cat’s Hit | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Launchabind | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leah Camille | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Miss | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady’s Tribute | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | So Silly Lillie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Purple Parrot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Give Me the Money | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Go Selma T | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Toomuch | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crickadee | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Labelhermyprayer | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Day O | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crowned Style | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Greeley’s Doll | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ringneckdove | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Septennial | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Smok’n Rita | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’wild Baroness | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Americas Choice | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Tutt | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Suade Guitar | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Pepper Ann | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Cajun | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | U Thought U Got Me | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zipalongnow | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Frisky Breeze | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Top Figure | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Show’em the Heat | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Misty Sunrise | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Schuyler Sister | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Skipadee Due Da | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Strollin | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ardesia | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pride and Gioia | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gia Mama Mia | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Viene Navidad | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jewels of Sorce | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Azalea S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Fleet Halo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Mella Bella | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | La Mistake | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fame Feather | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Feisty Embrace | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sarah’s Holy Belle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Gorgeous | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Wekati | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Sassy Butclassy | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glorious Day | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maggie True | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anita Bonita | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shamrock Star | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Orleans Spice | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Tiz One | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half a Million | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overthegardengate | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fiji D | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rachael’s Kiss | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rach’slastscarf | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Doll | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Take It All | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Hyper Piper | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inspeightofyou | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Babybluesbdancing | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’sagraciouslady | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vieja Luna | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Curlin | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Salty Martini | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lorretta | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greta | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | C R Fast Nitelite | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Our Bernattete | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Taylor’s Beauty | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scottish Bu | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heavenly Quest | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dixieland Flash | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Diamond Thief | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D’wild Irish Rose | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salute My Lady | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mine Mine | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Pee Wee Diablo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | A Special Faith | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Thief | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Our Jo | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blame Free | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Gianna | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cool Deal | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gabby’s Freedom | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Velleity | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | This Aint Dallas | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missbonquiqui | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Myla | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.