March 8, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fashion’s Touch | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mizz Fabulous | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hogans Holiday | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Maho Bay | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | And Isles | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ravish | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Demands Attention | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 11 | Blue Wings | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sid Vicious | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Waging War | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bushrod | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Voodoo Spell | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Aktabantay (GB) | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cape Race | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Romeo Lima | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Reflector | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Imposter | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Zipcity | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Set Hut | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Masterly | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Away Ralph | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire Blaster | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warned | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | One More Tom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Messiah | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Burnin Daylight | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zero Gravity | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Time Flies By | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power Song | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Readyforperfection | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nobrag Justfact | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You Split Tens | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Talking Zip | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Candy Rail | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nyla Girl | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avery Lynn | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timebobanna | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Open Interest | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Moronette | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Lynn | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chicago Blues | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Woodmans Luck | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crescent Drive | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Boyd Crowder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pat’s Shoes | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Don’t Split Tens | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Broken Key | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | King of All Media | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minister’s Strike | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Gabacho | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strut N Stomp | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | High Moon | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fairwell Tax Break | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Efforting | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Brees | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Play Unified | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Believeinsomething | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Cutter | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Lutie | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Yourdecisionotmine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Boru | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Go for Moonshine | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bully Dos | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Killeen | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Mission | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vanquish | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Great Sky | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valiantly | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ryman | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Antrim’s Giant | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Factor | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Briar Jumper | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luna Lute | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Chesed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Born Again George | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aw Shucks | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Stuck in Vegas | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bound West | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nebulas | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kick the Dust Up | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of the Prince | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Flash of Copper | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swinging Greeley | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.