March 4, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Asian’s Way | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loose | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Super | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carry Your Heels | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Rullah | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curiousncuriouser | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cumbria | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blank Paige | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cleo | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overtime Olivia | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Sheila | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mama’s Red Hat | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You Promise | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer Spirit | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harlan Punch | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wake Up in Malibu | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Shot | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haul Anchor | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Triangulate | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accumulator | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gio Lucky | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pragmatist | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Pirate | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phoenix Bound | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Codylicious | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Dollar Hammer | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Altar Boy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J S Bach | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poshsky | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Eagle’s Return | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chilly Bon Bon | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Strong | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Simona | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cathy Naz | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paranoia | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Right On | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viradia | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Fever | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orchid Party | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Street Cat Sam | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | C K Dexter Haven | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A Lotta Wine | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maimo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Mesa | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hong Kong Gardens | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mickey T | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Royal Inheritance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sounds Delicious | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Short Kakes | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kelsocait | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Edisto Island | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aunt Rose | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Imvros Pride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Love Your Buttons | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Arthur Avenue | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Champagne Papi | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Clonedsimmard | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ed’s Quick Cat | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Brilliant Scheme | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dublin Leprechaun | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty Martini | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Njord | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.