March 3, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wound Tight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Minister’s Glory | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smart Knows Smart | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shaymin | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Your Jets | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ashley’s Big Guy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Amore | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calimonco Flyer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Chila | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Honor | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heartfullofstars | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soltero | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bocephus | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lewis Vale | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | City Steel | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matriculate | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Tizzy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Super | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kristo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sense of Glory | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jersey’s Heat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Celturian | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | English Investor | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Ready Eddie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fast as Cass | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dynamic Duo | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Born On the Bayou | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mr Parker | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Elwood J | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Donworth | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lookie Loo | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camino de Estrella | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kawara (BRZ) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deal With It Dude | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Santa Ysabel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dream Tree | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Bisou | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Lily | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Fast Broad | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thirteen Squared | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweetsongofthenile | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Hunter | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honeymoonz Over | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joeray | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joejoe’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zippy Groom | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mac McLovin | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lipster | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Salten Sapity | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tizanillusion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ruby Trust | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lightning Dove | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gone to Town | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cynthiana | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Beau Square | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | A Little Bit Me | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Lady Ninja | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Gotham Desire | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Ms Wakaya | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Lassie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Venice | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Go Girl Gone | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yolanda’s Stone | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No Honey Money | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wild Edie | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jinn Win | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sunny Sweet | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brite Rivers | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bolster | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | R Cha Cha | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Levitation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Beantown Boys | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rick’s Dream | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hank the Tank | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Ghetto | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kenny Benny | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | We Go Now | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pumpkin Star | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.