March 3, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Helen Virginia |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Loran Holiday (ARG) |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wishfully |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Helen |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nautia |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s Spoiled |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cotton Tooyah |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
High End Lady |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
All Golden |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Four Freedoms |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Travy Boy |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kikinboy |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quality Choice |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Island Tap |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
City Edition |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gusty Wind |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beach Treasure |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bay Street Bob |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Perfect Tay |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chatiment |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grand Nene |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Inmyfathersimage |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Amace |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Entangled |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Big Boy Bruno |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lil’s Fast Boy |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coxswain |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Daring Duchess |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Summersault |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Holy Helena |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Westit (GB) |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Empressof the Nile |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Palinodie (FR) |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shezaprado |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Sand Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Celestine |
0.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grizzel (IRE) |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Storm the Hill |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Team of Teams |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kylla Instinct (GB) |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Island Reward |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Perdona |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Palm Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Speed Franco |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Therapist |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Renaisance Frolic |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Maraud |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Neepawa |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hawkish |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eye of a Jedi |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Herecomesthebride S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Princess Warrior |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thewayiam (FR) |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Amertume |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’s Pretty Lucky |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brattata |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Favorite Gift |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Malibu Saint |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen Rose |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Davona Dale S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Fly So High |
1.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Take Charge Paula |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sunny Skies |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cache |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sultry |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Mo Mentum |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heavenhasmynikki |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alter Moon |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Donation |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Modern Tale |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Could Be |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
The Son Wind |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Laythatpistoldown |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Croninthebarbarian |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fan Base |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
The Zip Zip Man |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Creaky Cricket |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Online |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Picketts Corner |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Giant’s Voice |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
12 |
Lakota Brave |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Island Therapy |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Electrifying |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Metz |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Canadian Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
March |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hogy |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shakhimat |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Highland Sky |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Galleon Mast |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Conquest Sandman |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Derby Champagne |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blind Ambition |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Travelling Midas |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Personal Time |
1.80 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Eclipsed Moon |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Country Squire |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rare Form |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Numero Thirteen |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hofburg |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
B I Moody |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
C C Rider |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Just Whistle |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Honig |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Gulfstream Park Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
First Growth |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Mr. Jordan |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Favorable Outcome |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eight Town |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Noholdingback Bear |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Classic Rock |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
10 |
Rock and Fellers (ARG) |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Richard the Great |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Extravagant Kid |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Unbridled Outlaw |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sweetontheladies |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Mac Diarmida S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sadler’s Joy |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Oscar Nominated |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gold Shield |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Muqtaser |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
One Go All Go |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Patterson Cross |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nessy |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Some in Tieme (BRZ) |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Big Bend |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bernay (IRE) |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Run Time |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Markitoff |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Xpressbet Fountain Of Youth S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Free Drop Billy |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Good Magic |
1.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Strike Power |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Gotta Go |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Storm Runner |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Machismo |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
He Takes Charge |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Marconi |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Promises Fulfilled |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Peppered |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.