March 3, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Andthebandplayedon | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meter | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saints’ Girl | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’ Cat | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy Boat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Rosie | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Findley Isle | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Man Jax | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapizone | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saraab | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Campioni | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desierto | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Teddy B | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pain in the Arch | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garey Park | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Your Race | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harambe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Tessa’s Treat | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can She Scoot | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grandma’s Princess | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Greta | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Hope You Dance | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Giant | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catwalk Commando | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Dixie Poker Ace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trust Factor | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grande Basin | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Extra Credit | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zarb’s Gift | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Berniestrike | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mageez | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Mischief | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gentlmens Agrement | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let Us Be Glad | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Biblical Strength | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snapper Bite | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Barrel Man | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So Sorry Ruston | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valid Pursuit | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whoz Talkin Now | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pocketball | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cole’s My Champ | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flat Meadow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Accuse | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Skipped | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Drift Away | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stave | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catkins | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Cape Time | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Salty Scatt | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizaprincessa | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Whatwillbewillbe | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crackling Bread | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Blushing Kitten | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daddy Issues | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Flor | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marida | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Shackira Shackira | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Tiz de Lovely | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Road | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Backseat Promises | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Riz | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | N. D. Free | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Atlantis | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midna | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Black Gold Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ride a Comet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Potential Danger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Tap Daddy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Wise Treaty | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fascilitator | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dragon Drew | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Dragon | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | G’s Turn | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zeke | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cash Reward | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Major Brown | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bentonville | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Em C | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tensas’s Boy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Definitely Spring | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Wedgeanola | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Letithappenquick | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Saltee Stark | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.