March 2, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Skipping Light | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moment of Grace | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rose’s Asset | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pound of Hundreds | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caroline Conquest | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Arwen | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Infinite Verses | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mistake Present | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Turbo S | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Get a Valentine | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Portfolio Manager | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hotfoot | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Banana Thief | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Cat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lawton | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Doug’s Bug | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alys Appointment | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | A Higher Wager | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chewing Candy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Dude | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Ty | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ride | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Old Hat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ellen Maria | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Casual Cool | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Jinx Johnson | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heavenly Kingdom | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rickey’s Girl | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frisco Girl | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quarter Carat | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Commander | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopeful Joy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Holiday | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Choteau | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Inferno | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Rusty Rue | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Grip | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rollwithit | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get It to Geaux | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Buck | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Firedupreadytogo | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Six Schillings | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Letthebigshot Roll | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cordero (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In the Chamber | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Consultation | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lu Rae’s Lucky Sky | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always a Catch | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fleetway | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boyfriend Brian (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chuck’s Dream | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Taybo Nation | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Surely You Jest | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Crosswalk | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eyes On | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Moon Unit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hello Tiz | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Slick Silver | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Watertonian | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Grit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | True Flat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gueydan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | He’s All Mine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Ninety One Assault | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Wabash Cannonball | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Marco Mischief | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Well’s Gold | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Overruling | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Lake | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Dapper Jack | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Who Datawaki | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chuck’s Quest | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pink’s Honor | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farmerville | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | North Light Ridge | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Social Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Heza Bling Thing | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conner Clark | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Maniac | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oneholylion | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dickie Do Wrong | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bigboyshowshart | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Glacken | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirtysix G’s | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.