Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 2, 2018

March 2, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 No Hiding Place 1.80 1.8 3-1
7 7 Lyrical Miracle 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Final Chapter 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bear Clause 4.00 4.8 9-1
8A 8 Bigshotinthenews 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Risk Management 6.00 5.1 10-1
5A 5 Awesome Heart 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Callant 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Go Get the Munny 1.20 2.5 5-1
4 4 Gleason 1.40 2.5 5-1
5 5 California Night 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Coltandmississippi 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Factor This 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Helooksthepart 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Heaven’s Runway 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Rockford 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Forest Blue 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Lex Vegas 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Bolita Boyz 6.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Flat Calm 2.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Anne’s Song 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Dancingwthdaffodls 1.60 3.6 7-1
3 3 Breezy Gal 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Sundance Joy 30.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Summer Squeeze 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Hot Possebility 30.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Playinwiththeboys 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 North End 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Pink Twist 1.20 3.7 7-1
7 7 Beyond Discreet 15.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Roman Reign 30.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Unbridledadventure 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Robin’s Destiny 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pretentious 2.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Heart in Hand 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bartleby 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Incorporate 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 City Traveler 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Danebury 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 St. Patrick Frost 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jewel Can Disco 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Heavy Meddle 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 For Pops 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Mission Command 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Giantinthemoonlite 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Brimstone 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 E J’s Legacy 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Love That Jazz 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Toohottoevenspeak 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Chilly Bon Bon 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Fratello Del Nord 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 We Did 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Calculated Risker 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Prophet’s Cat 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Readyheartandsoul 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Pegasus Red 10.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.