March 1, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Simply Imagine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Goodrockingirl | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Green Lakes | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’mwildaboutcarlos | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Countess | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nash Lee Security | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet’s Causeway | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Holy Beau | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Highroller Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Love That Brown | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Banjo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Pinch Assault | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Double Down | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Evan Lee G | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ty C | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Huffs Untouchable | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brie Brie’s Joy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cajun Bandit | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E Porto | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sashay Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Juanita’s Orthodox | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Miss Rippinlips | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Andale Girl | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chickoree | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Open Forest | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mostcourageous | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zarb’s Jogger | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moment to Moment | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Welloverdue | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dagal | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lily Rhett | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Graceful | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Orthodox River | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Boston Bob | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Ethan’s Landing | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sports Book | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Man of Bethel | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toast to Don | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zacksgotthis | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Customized | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Kitten | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jazz Talk | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Bill | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Start a War | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fire Blaster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Drago’s Pearl | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Go Gone Gone | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classic Greeley | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vision to Win It | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Worthy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lion Heart Legend | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Walking in Faith | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Q’ Mark | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gentlemengentlemen | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gentlemens Half | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cactus Son | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jubal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kira’s King | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Back in Business | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Core Portfolio | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Salutetheprince | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ganges | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awesome J T | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Go Poppa Go | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Captain Tyree | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Montbrooks Miracle | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sophie’s Illusion | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Color Me Ready | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Natona Lady | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Jo | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anydayoftheweek | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Jess the Best | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One K Queen | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Swift Lisa | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vidrine’s Choice | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Shezjuslikeannie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Quick Rae Rae | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Glitz N Glam | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angel d’Oro | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slick Rulers | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Demeanor | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joy’s Rally Finale | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Show’em the Heat | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Liba | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frenzy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kingpin Ruler | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Wise Cat | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sebas Ranger | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noah Knows | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Robert’s Prince | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rigged | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Nasty Time | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucas Henry G | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss of the Wolf | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Boss Jack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smooth Colliery | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pierpont | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crimson Jet | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Strong | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jersey Town Cat | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zydeco Star | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bendyls Picq Me | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Cajun | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Investment | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pinchout | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Dansant | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.