February 28, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Federal Reserve | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Independence | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swagger | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Wildcat | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tale of Kantharos | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imprimis | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stone Heart | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Little Sky | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | X Y Runner | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talento | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not Chopped Liver | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luminary Flight | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twas Nero | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Traffic Express | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sanad | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Love Nest | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Apatow | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uno Dancer | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peace Accord | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rucksack | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Agujero | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friendly Giant | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Three Star Stone | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweat | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gregory Sun | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time Will Tell | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Fine Ride | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamy Martini | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grand Sofia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Alexandras Joy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Mama | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Auntie Mary | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Blondie Run | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Draft | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’s Ginny | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Sweet Lorraine | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mymartina | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Luckbe Tanya | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catsadiva | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zeven | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prado Vision | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Charlotte | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Admiral’s Win | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Believe in Angels | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lamontagne | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tropicality | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Miraculously | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cocktail Skirt | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rate of Return | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Awesome Class | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Love to Share | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Natural Mist | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kenora | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Island Moon | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forty Kilos | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Bay Corvette | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Intactus | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Myth | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zarabanda | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mariealena | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simuladora | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnato Go | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Parol | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | April Rose | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Courage | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sound Defence | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Penelopes Best | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Safe With Me | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Christina | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heart Astray | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grace Appeal | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treatherlikestar | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nile Princess | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hold That Kitten | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Irishdancer | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapa Liath | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dointhewatusi | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweeter Surprise | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Party Tarde | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Troya | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kabuki | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Sure Lisa | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.