February 24, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Helen Wheels | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Callmeonmycellfone | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Till Two | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Band | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Foolish Girl | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sharp Pal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D’kellygoeswild | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Galatasaray | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Tabaddol | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Timingiseverything | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Curzon Street | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Czarmo | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Left Coast Dreams | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Suppose So | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Rainwalker | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Flashy Shoes | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Previous Honor | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Maryblueeyes | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meetmeforasmoke | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | She’s Coal Fired | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | D J Soul Sista | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Angie’s Prim Lady | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Desert Image | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Go Go Goose | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Punch Express | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pea Shooter Pro | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Ransack | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | High Moon | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Firespike | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bobby the Brain | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Modern Medicine | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Vibe | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Yeowzer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Hot Momma | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Arabella Bella | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Missive | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lounge Act | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hey Negrita | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holly Go Lightly | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aubrey | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Undivided | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Roussalka | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Woodmans Luck | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Big Kick | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hardly a Secret | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point Hope | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ironclad | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blame Angel | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call the Colonel | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Golden Domer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Factory of Faith | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Carolina Jasmine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sapphire Seas | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Sarahstar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Gagaoveryou | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | True Charm | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | World Peace | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Honey Bunny | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Touch of Bling | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Elandess | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | D’boldest | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | May Lily | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Love On Tides | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aiken to Be | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rise Above It | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ma’am | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Lilt | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Proud Dixie | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Back Page Star | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C Islandsurprise | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Soulshine | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Soft Cheese | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hopette | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Play the Break | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rocky Tough | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Avanzare | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Turf Titan | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arklow | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paternal Pride | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coco Mon | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dot Matrix | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’ll Pay | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Florida Won | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colonel Samsen | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patrick’s Day | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Dad | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Our Rapidash | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancehall Jack | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Dim | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Buddy Chuck | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Mocha | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Choice | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lukie Joe | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Collin’s Mystery | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Twice | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.