February 24, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jacqueline D | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forres Lily | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stars Wilburn | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jetsam Six | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Woundwithhereyes | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Ending | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shakesperian Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Arewehavingfunyet | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Milaya | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dean’s Ticket | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Perina’s Pride | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Glotona Again | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Franklin Square S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pauseforthecause | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Roxy Girl | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Buzz | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aunt Babe | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trinni Ninja | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Trinni | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Connie A | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ouro Verde | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Thirtydaysinjune | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Desert Affair | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Persky’s Spirit | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Super | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sophia’s Heart | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rahy’s Bandit | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dark Roast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hard Hitter | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Valyrian | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Casigordo | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Delta Outlaw | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sallisaw | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kenyan | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pirellone | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battle of Evermore | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bluegrass Singer | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arbitrator | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Milo Milo (ARG) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Promises | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alaapatique | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ring Necked | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Queen Apollo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Gabriella | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walk of Fame | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Daisy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zecha | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | March Two Madness | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wild Witch | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frau Blucher | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Out of Orbit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Analyze the Odds | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nolinski | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | What a Catch | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flash Drive | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belleville Spring | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimateenticement | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Mo | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lover’s Leap | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Honor | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Jo | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tiffany’s Vision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Tough Old Bird | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amanda Lane | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mazmania | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forever Rising | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | You Promise | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bank Elaboration | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Dawn | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.