February 23, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stay Fond | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B Three | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queenofthechannel | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Risk | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Preziosa | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Over My Head | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summer Reading | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not Taken | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Friend of Liberty | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anydayismyday | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpine Sky | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Christmas Sky | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Humor | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Total Control | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harkness | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spring for More | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alabama Bound | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giant Boxer | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Tiz Surprised | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dreams Are Pazible | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rock On Sandy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Caoimhe | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thanxforlastnite | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northernstreetgal | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Megalopsychia | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Formal Event | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Rita | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Bountiful | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spa Angel | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hug the Rail | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girlie’s Dream | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty On the Case | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Desert Affair | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Our Whim | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Angel Food | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sand City | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Classic Stones | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Field | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Questeq | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Rullah | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | E J’s Legacy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Broadway Bay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Becker’s Galaxy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fleet Irish | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mighty Zealous | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Global Positioning | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clutch Cargo | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Here Comes Tommy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Cause I’m Alex | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Morning Traveler | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Neon | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Just Bling It | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Meads Bay | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elenathena | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seattle Frost | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Kiss | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mahvelous Marie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.