February 21, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Chase Your Dreams |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gran Duque |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
El Guerrero Azteca |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Particularity |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Escarapela |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prive |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Knucklehead |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kid Kantharos |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Spunzig |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Snowdust |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Friends Talk |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Commissioned |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Grace B |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Justalilbitstormy |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Successful Quest |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Mojo’s Queen |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cashless Society |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Murray’s Girl |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dana’s Ride |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Southern n’ Sassy |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hansen’s Girl |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Freudee |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Galileo’s Affair |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beautiful Wife |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sierra Leona |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flashing Diamond |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Casual Caro |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trini Pleasure |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Perla Preciosa |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Soldat the Top |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Devuelta |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Appealing Lalibela |
1.80 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Momma Tries |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Dim Sum |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chocolate Candy |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Tapete Claire |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Fast Girl |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
You Flatter Me |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blackwynn |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vitaemi |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Padrinoneverquits |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Run Gal Run |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Forever Di |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Son of Oahu |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Pinocchio |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Di Maestro |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fast Fire |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Changing Leads |
4.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Immunity |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big City Heart |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Great Skellig |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Mechuda |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Sara’s Day |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bodega Bay |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dudacity |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Eight Minute Ellie |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tikitaca |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Way Over Budget |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heresurlamamama |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Attyia |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Superduper Sky |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kasuga |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Day by Day |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Keep Your Head Up |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Goldwood |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pastime |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fear No Evil |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Farcical Feline |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Furiosa |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bonita Springs |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bistro Moncur |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Havana Affair |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Indygita |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Little Princess |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
No Dinero |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Shot Jak |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
7 |
Sonido |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
6 |
Coco Is Loco |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Yes Darlin |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
8 |
Sailer’s Companion |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
11 |
9 |
D. Shifflett |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
10 |
Explosive Band |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Nephew Howard D |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
5 |
Dreamin of d’Wild |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
2 |
Archivero |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
You Are Flatter |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.