February 19, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Mamba | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Dance | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Radish | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Kitten | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dhafeera (GB) | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Intent | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Model | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deccan Queen | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stone Hands | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zap Again | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pampers n’ Boots | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Borden County | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chrisiscookin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiki Bar Logic | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Nati | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet No More | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reinahermosa | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tizno’s Dilemma | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Not So Easy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Award It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Little Bit Lovely | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Boom Boom | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revenue Virginius | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tink’s Twirl | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fahan Mura | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kennedie Sky | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chiquilin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Moon Juice | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ministertomyheart | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catability | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shifty Dancer | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Moment | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mojolicious | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yes I’m Ready | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rustic Canyon | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Willy Tell Him | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Sun | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Tiger’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Tale | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocking Chieftain | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – California Cup Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ismelucky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | One Fast Broad | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pulpit Rider | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | X S Gold | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo See Cal | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nice Ice | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Felony One | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carpathia | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – California Cup Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | George From Tahoe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Heck Yeah | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Intimidate | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Ridge | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Faversham | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Campaigner | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Romano | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Continental Divide | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardboot | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fire When Ready | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Site | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kaleidoscope Kid | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Radio Silence | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Home Run Kitten | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlight Drive (ITY) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mesut | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Tovar | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skelton Pass | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Hosa | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rate for Me | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Green With Eddie | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reign On (GB) | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.