February 19, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Triple Kapalua | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Darley | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Vie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Girl Factor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Spot On | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rulzrmadetobbroken | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Best Shoes | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shoot Craps | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | King of Anything | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Circle Unbroken | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Tiz Showbiz | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alabama Tide | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Cougar Country | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | J P Rocker | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Internet Success | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Vacanza | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On the Lam | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Shine | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Well Mannered | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Small Town Hero | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flashy Indian | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Yeowzer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 8 | Roma Road | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toasting Master | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Altito | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Glitnir | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oh Newman | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Early Bid | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Memphisinmay | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mineyerownmalone | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Augie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wyatt’s Town | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proximus | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Edition | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pop Culture | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blasphemy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yankton | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’ve Got Heart | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dazzling Gem | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Squeeze | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goats Town | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dan the Go to Man | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P C Cowboy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Racer | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hallelujah Hit | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cu Rahy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lionite | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pryor | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Applewood | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leinster | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Money Dance | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Times Two | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yellow Wolf | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bemma’s Boy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Single Gem | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D’oros Ruler | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sworn Silence | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Tariff | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Chords | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bo Peep | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miz K | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Getupbabygetup | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Create a Star | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Trios | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Mischief | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Razorback H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sonneteer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hawaakom | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shotgun Kowboy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Futile | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leofric | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Untrapped | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J Boys Echo | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Lieutenant | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Far Right | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rated R Superstar | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rocking the Boat | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Southwest S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Principe Guilherme | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Mourinho | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Combatant | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sporting Chance | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Seven Trumpets | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ezmosh | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Jack | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Road to Damascus | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zing Zang | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Retirement Fund | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kentucky Club | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Colour Guard | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Zulfikhar | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Transgress | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New York Central | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Plainsman | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Baby Dream | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shane Zain | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bode’s Maker | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Our Turn | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catdaddy | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.