February 19, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Diamond Mint |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zeus Odin |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smart Dude |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stone Heart |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Monday Pirate |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tempter |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gods Greatness |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Gold Shot |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Mr Atila |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ride On Faith |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Houdini Affair |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gemstorm |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Visions of You |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bella Bailar |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Last Kiss |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ascertain |
1.20 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
First Tomoe |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fergielicious |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queen Roller |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Enigmatica |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shamrock Babe |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Romantic Moment |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Touch of Grace |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Summer Fling |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Aspen Summer |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Latest Version |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Finished |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Toe |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thy Kingdom Come |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gio Dude |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Four Knights |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Space Captain |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bay Hill |
4.50 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Broadcast Time |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Tiger Blood |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Class Won |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Harryhee |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Silver Defense |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Scam |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Lenstar |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
The Hardest Way |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Glory Ride |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Miss Sophia’s Star |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Baylor |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Momenta Kat |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Nicky’s Warrior |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Michelle’z Laugh |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Beautiful Chaos |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Slated |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
3 |
She’s No Joke |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
2 |
Halo’s for Dude |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Holiday Laughter |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Indian Chaser |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Arella Princess |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Ventina |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Starship Hostility |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Diplomatic Affair |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Miss Visconti |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Fiore |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Loving Valentina |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Roraima |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Beautyofaday |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
8 |
Shanghai Shuffle |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Arichuna |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Cheeky Cherub |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dig Deeper |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Umetuka |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Everyonelovesjimmy |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
La Titina |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sean’s Idea |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Berning Repent |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shezaprado |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Feed Me Carats |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Smart Romance |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lapantalones Fance |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Stay Safe Kitten |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Unspoken |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Voila La Victoire (IRE) |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Lady Greatness |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Royal Delta S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Curlin’s Approval |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lewis Bay |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Verve’s Tale |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Unbridled Mo |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Martini Glass |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tapa Tapa Tapa |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Surprise Wedding |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Giulia |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
One Fine Ride |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Caught |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
One of a Kind |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Deneb |
3.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bracket Creep |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Street Code |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Darn That Parker |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
African Chief |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rory |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Menehune |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twistcat Candy |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Moreno Mojo |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.