February 18, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Radish |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Chalky (IRE) |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Glorious Hour |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Meal Ticket |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Doubelievenmagic |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Delectable |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Tiz Goldilux |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
California Breeze |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Beauty Divine |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Camby |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Justify |
1.20 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Paddock Pick |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Show Time Rocket |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tre |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Big League |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Burn Me Twice |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beantown Boys |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bay Muzik |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Trickonomics |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Executive Cat |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Baffle S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Pubilius Syrus |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Colosi |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hemp Hemp Hurray |
1.60 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Afleet Ascent |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Madarnas |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Psycho Dar |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Tequila Blanco |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Beloved Holiday |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Awesome Anywhere |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Williston Dude |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Path of Exile |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Awesome E K |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lucky Staxx |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cosmotivo |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Gio’s Gold |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Girl Downstairs |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Siberian Iris (IRE) |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Candy Swirls |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Tulip (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Proud ‘n’ Ready |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glory and Power |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cynthiana |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Literary Critic |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quinn Murphy |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Candy Boss |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ransomed |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Velvet Jones |
1.20 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sharp Holiday |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Majestic Diva |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blissful Lady |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Diamond Proof |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dixie Crystal |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Las Flores S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Selcourt |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coniah |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Princess Karen |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Skye Diamonds |
1.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just a Little Hope |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Citizen Kitty |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Super Patriot |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mongolian Window |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Sweet Congrats |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Seattle Drop |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Curlin’s Journey |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bunny Yogurt |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mischievous Song |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Biscate |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
It’s Alexus |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sekhmet’s Revenge |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gal Factor |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
International Diva (IRE) |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Roses and Candy |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Swallows Inn Gal |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.