February 16, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Zoey’s My Girl |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Serious I Candy |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Vyera |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sweet Tatum |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Blues Corner |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dance Like Katie |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Weneedtotalk |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Longway Home |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Seaside Surprise |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Piratess |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Sweet Sweet Kim |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
13 |
12 |
Rockets Phenom |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Button Mushroom |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Ella B Aly |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
Ordained Kiss |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sophie’s Pocket |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
12 |
11 |
Chloe Creek |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Suzy Jones Burrow |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Luna Magic |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
U R My Sunshine |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
8 |
7 |
Bonita Salsa |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Suspicious Lady |
15.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Forge Ahead Franki |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Private Time |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Read the Cards |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bottom Line |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Patriotic American |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Britt’s Vow |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Arrogant |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stranglehold |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kerugma |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oh Oz |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Arch Arch Baby |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jersey Heist |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Big Axe |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Peeps |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Darion’s Dream |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Indian Gem |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sizzle Factor |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Abby in Pink |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Perfect Plus |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Spring d’Oro |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Dan the Tin Man |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Long Station |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Imma Bling |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
He’s So Zazzy |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Choir Director |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Stump |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
Stay Home |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Star’s Valentino |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Thread the Needle |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Good Move |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unprovoked |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Noho |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Heidi’s Wish |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Diamondcoat |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bartlett Narrows |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Say It Softly |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tyoga Six |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Nobadeer |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Or Sunday |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Oliver G |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Jive Daddy |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Serious Talk |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Malibu Tide |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Macanao |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Cowboy U Know |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Senor Grits |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Marquee Miss |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Mythical Tale |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Profound Moment |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Our Majesty |
1.60 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Beach Flower |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Borealis Beauty |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Okie Diva |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Euro K Shotgun |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Halory |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
K L S Forty Three |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
After Party |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Cadillac Red |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
John’s Legacy |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Good Play |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Admiral Shepard |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
12 |
11 |
Picture Tube |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Levanto (ARG) |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
Hard Work |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Otto’s Dream |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Luther D |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bowman West |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.