February 16, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Via Castagna | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Switzerland | 0.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Anchor | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stan the Man | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Texican | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Ghostzapper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Timeless Beauty | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Rose of Savanna | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gia Michael | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Karen’s Gem | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blissful Breeze | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Moyne | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunshine Gal | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Sparrow | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Letmetakethiscall | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scorpion Bowl | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sundance Joy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cryinthemoonlight | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Puffery | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salty Smile | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Split Time | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vip Nation | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Conquest So True | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Thirstforthecup | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flick of an Eye | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Midnight Bounty | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Arewehavingfunyet | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Madame Barbarian | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Familyofroses | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Maddizaskar | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Light the Vow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Vilma | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hembree | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E J’s Legacy | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Micozzi | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halloween Horror | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baseline | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glennrichment | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sandy Belle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Silly Sister | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palladian Bridge | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andesine | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barrier to Entry | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unrepented | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zealous Scholar | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Same Kinda Crazy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mineralogy | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adirondack Dream | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor and Pleasure | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celtic Scout | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hamptons Holiday | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regere | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Facade | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | You Like That | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heat Check | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.