February 11, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | War Moccasin | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Looking At Thelake | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vasilika | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aura Rose | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Mongolian | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Lilly | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | November Tale (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kiss of Dahpespe | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smiling Tigress | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Rosie | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sapphire Kid | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharona Sunset | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | More Honor | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Uncle Rick | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ike | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American All Star | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Asesino | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rumpus Cat | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A Red Tie Day | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Royal | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crown the Kitten | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Scotty | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Senator Robert | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cardiac | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drummer (GER) | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Bang | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Sagittari | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Magical More | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Western Warrior | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Seeker | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | You’ll Be Lucky | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Call Me Soul | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Old School Ike | 0.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shackalov | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dos Palos | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Chewy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamic Duo | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Jim | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nine Issues | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Kingdom | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laseen (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coachwhip | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucy De | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nodiac (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Becca | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shazara | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lynne’s Legacy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Space Cadet | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Yes Mongolia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Liar’s Smoker | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backintheacademy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ipray | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jill Madden | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Veronica Bay | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stole My ‘Art | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Very Hot | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sweet Life S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Out of The Flames (GB) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Bad Behavior | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Heroine | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finess Bere (FR) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Treasuring (GB) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Masterpiece | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mraseel (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ismelucky | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Puddles (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Atrevida | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theodosia | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holy Diver | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.