February 8, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Princess Lu Lu | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cause to Wonder | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Soul | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sabe Marcelete | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heartbreak Hill | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Hope You Dance | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I. Damiana | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Behold the Queen | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Su Su’s Kitten | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sergeant Granado | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Heavenly Gem | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thunder Alley | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gone Lucky | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Last Flash | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gator Tough | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spasini | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Apollo’s Prince | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Prince | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zar’s Star | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Call the Colonel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Stride | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liberty Lane | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Minister’s Strike | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Manfred | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Split Tens | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deep Explorer | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kit Check | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mizztic Tale | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Private Party | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Timuquana Place | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Song | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Medlin | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | N. D. Free | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atlantis | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Shot to Win | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Louisiana | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soco Unbridled | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Offended | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hold Her Tight | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Sister | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunny’s Funny | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Included | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Arithmetic | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devine Mischief | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Bites | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ordain | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Turner Time | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power Song | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | True Wisdom | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mine My Time | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | R K Gee | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overanalyzfakenews | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trouble Coffee | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Potomac | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Perfection | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Alys Appointment | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Olivia’s Uncle | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shirl’s Ready | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Shenanigan | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinyl | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Rosso | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vandelay | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turnaround | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Bob | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ego Trip | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Colossus | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Enjoy the Journey | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Dog Dare | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Macha’s Reward | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Late Nite Mischief | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zero Gravity | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hours Truly | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Right Hand | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stuart Hall | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel’s Pride | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caymans Cobra | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ellen Maria | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Iquique (FR) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hopeful Joy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frisco Girl | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dewyalovemenow | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cajun English | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Choteau | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Luxe | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quarter Carat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Camana Bay | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lookin At Grace | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.