February 4, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ms Peintour | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silken Spy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Retro | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Casino Red (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Californiagoldrush | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time to Play | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Krissys Manicure | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Milhaud | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pure Pursuit | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thankful Every Day | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Seeker | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Defense Minister | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome E K | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eleazar Warrior | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gem of a Guy | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fivetwentyninefund | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bright Autism Mind | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fabrication | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lighthouse Boogie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Moment | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Air | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agressivebrawler | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Las Virgenes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dream Tree | 0.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s No Drama | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirteen Squared | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steph Being Steph | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exuberance | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Diver | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Broome | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Storm | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gracious Me | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chickatini | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D D’s Lute | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Lily | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wampus | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lazzam (GB) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aquaphobia | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kristi’s Copilot | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Sabre Cat | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Urban Bourbon | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rye Patch | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comes the Dream | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | For Greater Glory | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Any Questions | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sanavi | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | All Net | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mischievious Lass | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taylorealswift | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapitha Bonita | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Venice | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artistic Ministry | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tisn’t She Lucky | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jinn Win | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Slew | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizswift | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ajac | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Kochees | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Freddies Dream | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | South Texas Lingo | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Roman Tizzy | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sense of Glory | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Private Prospect | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Winning Causeway | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Natural | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chromium | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pulmarack | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Silver | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Del Mar Diva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Paddy Jean | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diva La Mousse | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Arrowsphere | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tell Me More | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Party Girl | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ib Prospecting | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foxtail | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Luck | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bissou Bissou | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Married by Now | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.