February 4, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Plein Air | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prado Vision | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rain in Spain | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Passionate Girl | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Melody Croon | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Court Central | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Extravagant Baby | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freckle de Freck | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bill’s Legacy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Always | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gamer Girl | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commissioned | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Satire | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grace B | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Sue | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Day | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cotton Time | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flying Girl | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scatnap | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ariel’s Flyer | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Patient | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roll It Gal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rara | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautyofaday | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | R Little Secret | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flirty | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Zodiac | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bird of Peace | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mobeautiful | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bali Breeze | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nocatee | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Cat Grace | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twice as Magical | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flying Tipat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Giulia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Holy Helena | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shaan (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liberty Kitten | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple Fur | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kylla Instinct (GB) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Player | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Blues Songs | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lady and Me | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stylitude | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Quickluckycoco | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Candy Forest | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aurora Princess | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucille Bull | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tapete Claire | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Two Diamonds | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Secret Pleasure | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Kallio | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nevisian Sunset | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kathy’s Clown | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ballston | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Solar Vortex | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Sting | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kensington | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | August Snow | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Too Charming | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Nature | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mississippi | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cove Blue | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Navistar | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Runner | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bon Raison | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Tiger | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Story | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | American Frolic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Joy of Treasure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ragtime Suzy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mitchell Road | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brattata | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Night Owl | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Park Lane | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amazing Audrey | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Y’all | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Monk | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casa Bonita | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Reward | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trustee | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Summer Fling | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ezpzylemonsqueezy | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Dancing | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bama Bound | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Russian Greek | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Hannoun | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Model Citizen | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Inmyfathersimage | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gadsby Tavern | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Summer Scamp | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Francesco Appeal | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gracious Plenty | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boy Bruno | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gran Identidad | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shadow Rock | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Wildcat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seize | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Wildcat | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Zip Zip Man | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seuss | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Townie | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shoshone Brave | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Captain Carol | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Written | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wild Lemon Gal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Order In | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Run in the Shadows | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Alert Kitten | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helen Hayes | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three Questions | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Chaos | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Trump That | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jordy’s Ready | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Despoena | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play That Tone | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Its About Me | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Olivia | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peggity | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.