February 2, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | She Loves Leather | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blue Chicory | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lady Loretta | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dixie Jewel | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bettyblue | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dollar Dancer | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Philly | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cape Race | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Draxhall Woods | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mayor Mac | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Superstar Leo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Whiskey Bravo | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hotfoot | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sonoma Crush | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Romeo Lima | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aktabantay (GB) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock N Sake | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Towering Oak | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taichung Bobby | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Great Sky | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Nono | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cumber | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blues Tour | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Qarth | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dynashe | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Shook | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jinx Johnson | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Regal Dame | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Got Pride | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corluna | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashy Taty | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunaris | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roussalka | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chocolate Martini | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | M J All Day | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Elite Score | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bobby the Brain | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Ragu | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shaniko’s Secret | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Minister Henny | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sammy Mandeville | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Divine Holiday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Purgenality | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Star Cross | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Path of David | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey Ticket | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Uncle Mo Money | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Methuselah | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Santa Americana | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Mas Mischief | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boyfriend Brian (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dattts Our Guy | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Poddubny | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Friend Flavin | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | John’s Luck | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hunker Down | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Bandit | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queeten | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outofthisgalaxy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Private Party | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Yeowzer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Consultation | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Macho Gabacho | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Always a Catch | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Letthebigshot Roll | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crescent Drive | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vibe | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pat’s Shoes | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mansoor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Causation | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose’s Asset | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Caroline Conquest | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pound of Hundreds | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skipping Light | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bull Headed Woman | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brittany’s Bunny | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moment of Grace | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Custom for Corales | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elle Les Yu | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.