January 30, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Watch Your Words | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ferdinandthemouse | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Casino King | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snowfly | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sambook | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curly’s Pal | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cute as a Button | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simply Tizway | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | West Shore Drive | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sunshine Wild | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lone Traveler | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Jerry | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Rocket | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dominick’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. McFrosty | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Six Blade | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eastern Front | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J B’s Big Red | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Betterbringuragame | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 6 | Shemakesmehappy | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Erotic Kiss | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jabeezy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Not Leaving | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Discreet Cathy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hibernia Diamond | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Current | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Currency Wave | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Szey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Warrior Rose | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Daring Ego | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | I’m the Main Man | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Missin the Big Dog | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Black Stetson | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Golden Brown | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Jimmy Who | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Skyline Drive | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sally O’Prado | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Checkbouncin Billy | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special City | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Squan’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Egyptian Rose | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Sister | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kaitain | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Brix | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Rockport | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deep Sea | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morally Inflexible | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bitumen | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruby Bleu | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Strip | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scrap Iron Phil | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Tempestuous Angel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Believe in Luck | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gloves Off | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cause I’m Alex | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mokheef | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Court Note | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forman the Foreman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Freemark | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Fled | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Imasuperstar | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Honor and Courage | 1.20 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Arrecife | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Love Rules | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | No Contingency | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | In the Script | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Cantaclaro | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Swell | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Big Lie | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Dynasir | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Moneyman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Steve Says No | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ecliptical Jack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Smarty Mr D | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Chief Kitten | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Pharaoh’s City | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Wind Spirit | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | December Red | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Sahara Goal | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Guyana Express | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heroic Indeed | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.