January 28, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Erindelle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Flora Dora | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Champagne Problems | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rise Above It | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factory of Faith | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Song of Spring | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Why Joey Why | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Givemeaminit | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap City Danzer | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hansen’s Holiday | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rollwithit | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Combat Command | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tune My Guitar | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Altered Mind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Iquique (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Market Top | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Heavenly Kingdom | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Proud Commander | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Rickey’s Girl | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | My Kinda Devil | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tribal Transit | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Holiday | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Timeslikethese | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whistling Wind | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ride a Saint | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zar’s Star | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dude Greeley | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walker the Wiz | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Country | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greeley’s Kreem | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Andale Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jus Wow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Is Too | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gia Victoria | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | B’s Ten | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Star Performer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saintly Cry | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R Queendom | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saints’ Girl | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Be Kind | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffany Ofthe Nile | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Deez Jitterbug | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glispee | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Valse | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aurora’s Kid | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Firespike | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whateverybodywants | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conscious Decision | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Moon | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carnoustie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Czarmo | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bella Bella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Truth | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | San Sebastiana (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Galileo Gal (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | La Sola Ranger | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tizahandful | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Time to Flirt | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Legallini | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | C Islandsurprise | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | All Out of Aces | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lieutenant Seany O | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ironclad | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Woodmans Luck | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Funny Biz | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Philoctetes | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Deputy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Etruscan | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sandstorm | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Bold Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Silver Causeway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Finding Value | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Safari Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | To Be Famous | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Glory Train | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Move | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Shy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lovemelikeyoudo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | D’ Platinum | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Holiday (ARG) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aikenetta | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Rosecoloredglasses | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | N. D. Free | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Floatie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | D’ Wildamber | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Fuhr a Slam | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shezaffirmedbeauty | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Nilla | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Reece’s Dilemma | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Muscadine Wine | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alys Grand | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hannah Banana | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.