January 28, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zonic | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Mission | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Givetheman a Cigar | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Platoon Leader | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Okeamo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ola Gatita | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Woundwithhereyes | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Three Eighty Eight | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | This Bird Can Sing | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quanique | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forres Lily | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirtydaysinjune | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forever Rising | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Factoring | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cleo | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Springtime Wind | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blank Paige | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New York Event | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shakesperian Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Doinwhatshelikes | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baronet | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Familyofroses | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perina’s Pride | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loyal Heart | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stars Wilburn | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shuffle Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Too Fast to Pass | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Power Nap | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Eagle’s Return | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bluegrass Singer | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Avast Matey | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Candy Promises | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jeter | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Afleet Martini | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Conquest Twister | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Roman Revival | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Callant | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ever Young | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Merger of Banks | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Backstretch George | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kelvin | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flipped | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Hitter | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Bid | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Won’t Be Missed | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | For Pops | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Clutch Cargo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Uncle Sigh | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broken Engagement | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nobody Move | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fleet Irish | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz a Chance | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond the Green | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ruthless S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Strategic Dreams | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danyelli | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Fever | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wall of Compassion | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blushing Justine | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paranoia | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Can’tweallgetalong | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Niko Strong | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Just Bustin | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lake Party | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trinni Juice | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ucantcatchmybreath | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Save the Sangria | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Noble Behavior | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Purring On Empty | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.