January 27, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Can’tmakethisup | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vocab | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stilburnin | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Howyaformoney | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Some Promises | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Horseshoe Harbour | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Question | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot Cha | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Union Rags | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Surprise | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Life’s a Gamble | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Country Linedancer | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu At Midnight | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zap Cat | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dutch Blitz | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamliner | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monumental Vending | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mutaraabit | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frost’s Song | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can He Shine | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Im Charming | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Wild Dreams | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Arrears | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dexter Road | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pistol Posse | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crimson Secret | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Ignatius | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Marshua S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Enrage | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Limited View | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Off My Stage | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enchanted Ghost | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aggregator | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last True Love | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cherryandthehawk | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Child’s Play | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vente to Go | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Joycee’s Spirit | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stormologist | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eighty Six Mets | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Firth | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Emma’sdiamonddiva | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baccarat Honor | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Native Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | River Deep | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Willy | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | John Jones | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Monongahela | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Prospect | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bodhisattva | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noteworthy Peach | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Frank Whiteley, Jr S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ninetyeightoctane | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Wentz | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Time Revival | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Still Having Fun | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oldfashioned Club | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | V. I. P. Code | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whirlin Curlin | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | William and Mary | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Nellie Morse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucky in Malibu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Just Got Out | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Line of Best Fit | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Julerette | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Rude | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sky Flower | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Virginia | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Paint | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In the Navy Now | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Already Bettye | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Gaze | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Swisher | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Greely’s Striker | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baleroom Dancer | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antietam Creek | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Mama | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ermine and Purrs | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tranzip | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.