January 27, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Candy Striper | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Moonlighting Majic | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Deauville Mist | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Crazy Lady | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peloncillo | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Hard Headed Woman | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Magnolia | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Dude | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hold Me Black | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Line Judge | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Because It’s Time | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stand and Cheer | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardly a Secret | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jagged Warrior | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Valse | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ninety One Assault | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | General Basil Duke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ryd a Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | In the Navy | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marco Mischief | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | McGehee’s Mercy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Overruling | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | True Flat | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Lake | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dapper Jack | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Nilsson | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Il Est Vite | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | D’ Kingfish | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Enough Said | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Brahms | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tooth | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | They Call Me Seb | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cadillac Carter | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Letters | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Banana Thief | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flash Attack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zipp On By | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Belgian | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lawton | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Faction Cat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dig Charlie Dig | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Main Road | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharm El Sheikh | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fred’s Lucky Boy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Apparition | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Candy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | One Million | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Stihl Harbor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wildwood Dejavu | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bear’s Big Boy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valid Pursuit | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | E Lee | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Champagne Tony | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dats My Choice | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Punch Express | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lukie Joe | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Stumberg | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Henry’s Honey | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La Flor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | N. D. Free | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Mercken | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Southern Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bikini Hottie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Holiday Storm | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splashing | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dot Notation | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Super’s X E | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Windy City Girl | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vernacular | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shackira Shackira | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Aristocratic | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Chance Fancy | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silver Dust | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gorse | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Be Good | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Tappy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Such a Tease | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grit | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rollin Smoke | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wabash Cannonball | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Salvation’s Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Mizz Fabulous | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Devine Mischief | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crackling Bread | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Aspening | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rosebud’s Hope | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Will Ye Go Lassie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Smart Response | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Accuse | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flat Meadow | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stave | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Drift Away | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baby Collette | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hogans Holiday | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whatwillbewillbe | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Helen Wheels | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love This Dance | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Geaux | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Paint Job | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Miss Rebel | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quarter Carat | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reese’s Glory | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carson’s Katie | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Lady | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.