January 25, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Party Marty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Diamond Delight | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gentle Commitment | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | El Mozo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Candy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Afleet Spring | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bad and Tough | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Blue Wings | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sharp Art | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Saturday | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Partly Mocha | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kissthatbabygoodby | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keep Talking | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Singingintheheat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brilliant Interest | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Six Schillings | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Waging War | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Voodoo Spell | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show Bound | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Minister of War | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catty Krys | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spanish Arch | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whispering Justice | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sherry’s Salute | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gracequinnannamady | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tornada | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Track Teller | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Forgotten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Candy Rail | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Flowersforlady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Too Bad Chu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Spartanburg | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lunarstrike | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Half Fast Rose | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlightnmidnight | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Purely Blessed | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookout Mountain | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Kitty | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reckless Girl | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cinco Cinco Diez | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zuzor | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Game Baby | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ultra Arumba (BRZ) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mango’s Muse | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ide Biduadeau | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lucky | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Digger | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secrets of Summer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Millie | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queezee Proud | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shatorah | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Bora Bora | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | A Wonderful Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | It Is Time | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Souper Shenanigan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Power Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | True Wisdom | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kilroy Was Here | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Verhalen | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Katie’s Cowboy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Killeen | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | First Spring | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jimmy Joe | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vincent Van Gogo | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Playful Cat | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saint Maurice | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | McFeely | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Telekinesis | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Seeker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Carlsbad | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ace of Diamonds | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valiantly | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Old School | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Making a Marc | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Miss Bold Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Honey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Makada | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Feelin Foxie | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Looks Super | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Heaven’s Creation | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sunoof | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fashion’s Crossing | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Strombolian | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Runninwiththewind | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Amen Sista | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crafty’s Way | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Val’s Lemon Drop | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Proud Talike | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Amazon Warrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jack’s Gray Girl | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toga Dance | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fiftyshadesofnay | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Carlena | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grand Fais Do Do | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honest Star | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yella Wally Gator | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Roast | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clara’s Reign | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Movie Date | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.