January 21, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Lion | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Circle Unbroken | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Rascal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Patriotic American | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Como Se Llama | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battered | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oliver G | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Macanao | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kerugma | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Why Smile | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Backside Belle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Diastole | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ever Special | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Wishes | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Klassie Connect | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bloom Baby | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Eidolon | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sturn Donna | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Mo | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C C’s Baby Girl | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vyera | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot and Ready | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Her Mine | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sky Flight | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McQ | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Wonder | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pistone Steel | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chocolate Wildcat | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Buzz | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tyoga Six | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mister McGehee | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greeleys Charm | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Single Gem | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Zaevion | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fareeq | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Forecast | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tempo Seeker | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Uncle Pancho | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dry Martini | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King’s Reckoning | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pray for Kitten | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shanghai’s Song | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Pursuit | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Beautiful Honduras | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ms Fifty First St. | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Blushing Bella | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Dutch Parrot | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ministry | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Easter Indy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chilean Queen | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeri Bella | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fastanista | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Gayle | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dixie Flyer | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Avisionofchocolate | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Barham | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mary Lou | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Giant | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belvin | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mojo Street | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Benediction | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Transformative | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mizz Wizz | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Remember | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lotto Cat | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oriental Crown | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Greyjoy | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms. D’s Last Storm | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Take That for Data | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Applewood | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shane Zain | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taylor’s Sense | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southsider | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pryor | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strike Rate | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Edition | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Luvinmeiseasy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Krewe Chief | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Operation Stevie | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pinson | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | P C Cowboy | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | United Stand | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Ptolemy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crafty Spector | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Money Always | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plentiful | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tyfosha | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Vie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Mo | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bartlett Narrows | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unbridled’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unprovoked | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamondcoat | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roll On Big Mama | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eternal Bling | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Country Affair | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.