January 21, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Luminary Flight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cosmic Thunder | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Mauro | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pasta Giovanni | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Pinocchio | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Fact | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arpinella | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Party | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bank On Jon | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bernarda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | La Nena de Papa | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Appealing Lalibela | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Devuelta | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Bay Corvette | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Momma Tries | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dutches of Sparkle | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Two Diamonds | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bozzineta | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chocolate Candy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Indian Scout | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Di | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton Colors | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mario’s Revenge | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heliodoro | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gun Carriage | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hangry | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Enough | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shiny Copper Penny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Daddy’s Cozy | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Playing Hooky | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clear N Convincing | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Southern Greatness | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gemologister | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shades of Night | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Away | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Carlino | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iconic | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adulation | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Catch | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Robusto | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | River Evangelist | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Beach | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mac Creiche | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Cash Call Kitten | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paco Ensaco | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rider of the Blue | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get a Move On It | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Good Man | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guarichongo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Escarapela | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Bober | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kanaris | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Possible | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Flying Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Indian Chaser | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Visconti | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beautyofaday | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gran Chama | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rara | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arella Princess | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Falina’s Song | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moonlight Salsa | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ariel’s Flyer | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Motion’s First | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Really Sumthin | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Albert Charles | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Prue | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tagore | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Just the Facts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | King Power | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Ray’s The Bar (GB) | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Semblance of Order | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Front Line Paige | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Salt Mine | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Immunity | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tonedaddy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Liquid Aloha | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ganesh | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Di Maestro | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alsinaafy (IRE) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salutation | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Adios Little Ed | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sal’s Jet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bluegrass Envy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Night Rythm | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | D. Shifflett | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Trappes | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moreno Mojo | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shot Jak | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sailer’s Companion | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Rey Astray | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Twas Nero | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Archivero | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Father Love | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamin of d’Wild | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Princess Victoria | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Allowances (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Krazy Kathy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quant | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warranty | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Enchanting Kitten | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Palinodie (FR) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Full of Joy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Magical Sky | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lantiz | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mzima Springs | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Sheputaspellonme | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | She’s No Joke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tequila N Tacos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Estelle’s in Town | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Momenta Kat | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Circle the Bases | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Buffet | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gator Girl | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Montauk Miss | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Order In | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tajeliha | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leggenda | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Five Up Rosa | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kids Girl | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiebaj | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Captain Carol | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.