January 20, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3A |
3 |
Circle Unbroken |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
McQ |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Preacher Time |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Flying Mr K. |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Johnny Whip |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
10 |
7 |
Tiz Showbiz |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7A |
5 |
Valiant Flame |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hillbilly Royalty |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Special Concoction |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
4 |
Son of Pearl |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Top Player |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Hubert Junior |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Belvin |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Oriental Crown |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Luv Bandit |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
My Curby |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dynabeaver |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Runningunninrascal |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Ferocious Tiger (FR) |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiznow R J |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
12 |
11 |
Get That Box |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Northeast Bound |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Commander Lute |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
6 |
Score Time |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
5 |
Dowlingfourtyeight |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dupree |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mannford |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
K J’s Nobility |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bajan Cash |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vbreeze |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mud Light |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reckling |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Drago’s Pearl |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
State of Charm |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lou |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Do It |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Queen of Wildwood |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Dorothe Marie |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
8 |
Northern Connect |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
11 |
7 |
Karla With a K |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
Titfortat |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
4 |
Diva of Disaster |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
1 |
Includere |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
13 |
9 |
Be a Factor |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
3 |
Shut the Gate |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
14 |
10 |
Don’t Tell Mom |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
5 |
Alina’s Image |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
6 |
Tactical Scout |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Chantmeupbaby |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Chocolateicecream |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Chris and Dave |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
12 |
10 |
Blueridge Traveler |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Bee Jersey |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Bronze Age |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Son of a Saint |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grandpa’s Dream |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
9 |
Cass in Stone |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
5 |
Gray Sky |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
6 |
Love That Lute |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
4 |
Compagno |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Pinson |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Matrooh |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Eton Ridge |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bold Conquest |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ain’t Misbehavin |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Snickerboxer |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Whole Lotta Luck |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pilot House |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Handiwork |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spectacular Road |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boxer Boy |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Perfect Movement |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Mexico Memories |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Briar’s Gold |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Armando’s Star |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
While Ye May |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Rocking the Boat |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Guns Loaded |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
13 |
9 |
Got Even |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. N |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Jazzy Times |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Black Bear |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Long Station |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aquamarine |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Knights Key |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blame Will |
12.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dixie Belle S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Minit to Stardom |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Amy’s Challenge |
1.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mia Mischief |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vision of Justice |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thoughtless Doll |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Secret Passion |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Getupbabygetup |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Rickhouse |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Wyatt’s Town |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ripe |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
Blasphemy |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Mt. Rushmore |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tap Show |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shannon C |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Awesome Times Two |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Plainsman |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Deflater |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
10 |
9 |
The Money Dance |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.