January 20, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arnaud | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chase Rodney Will | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Delta Eighty Eight | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tall Story | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Two Date | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Burando | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Coast Guard Kid | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zactly | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Run Your Race | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nobutzaboutit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Landonese | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bully Dos | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Midnight Clear | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Uncail | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honor Mission | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fighting for Grace | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Magistro | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Antrim’s Giant | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Deadly Ruler | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Advent | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mitchnjohnny | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Ransom | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Biblical Strength | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Sorry Ruston | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Prophet | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pink Twice | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bushido Samurai | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Candle | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Create Again | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | West of Sabinal | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drena’s Bullet | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Best Discretion | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bruhlmeyer | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Pepe | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Burnt Bluff | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keppel Bay | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Galatasaray | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Glory Kingdom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Tabaddol | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Curzon Street | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Montana Kid | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tale of Beaucette | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Witts Henny Penny | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Tiz a Par | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Ambition | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Timingiseverything | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cookies Are Good | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rollin Smoke | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Such a Tease | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Hard to Be Good | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Harlan Strong (ARG) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flash Harry | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cordero (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Actor | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Norco | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Mountain | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pocket Player | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Hawk | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mayor Mac | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Wynn Time | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Control Stake | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Indian Lover | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Floroplus | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dark Arden | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fish Trappe Road | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speightsong | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Findley Isle | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Combustible | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Compass Zone | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teletap | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strike the Flag | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cumulative | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stamped | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Super | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Gator | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shadow Sphinx | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Private Eye | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Templar | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Last Drop of Wine | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ciaran | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Retirement Fund | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Thirty Nine | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boyfriend Material | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Southern Swagg | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Picacho Peak | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Battle At Sea | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Shanty | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | C C Harris | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | O’L Red | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charge the Line | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maga Man | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tensas Talk | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Nunc Pro Tunc | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In Charge Halo | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oneholylion | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.