January 20, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dial Josh | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Love Your Buttons | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Infamy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I Want Mo | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go Big Or Go Home | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shoot the Gap | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Latin Love Bug | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Water Trough | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Da Meister | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anchor | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preservationist | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fooch | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stan the Man | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ajnadeen | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pawn It Back | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seethisquick | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Jazil S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Daddy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Clowney | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Harlan Punch | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doyouknowsomething | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Backsideofthemoon | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vilma | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Glennrichment | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Karma Delight | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Zeus | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Halloween Horror | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devine Dental | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheyenne Bull | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | E J’s Legacy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brianbakescookies | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acoustic | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Benevolence | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Proletariat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | H Man | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wrong Ben | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bear Clause | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calculated Risker | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appealing Henry | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Formal Start | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frozen Angel | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grassady | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | New Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 5 | Special Story | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Forge | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scarf It Down | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Holland Road | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Holding Aces | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sicilia Mike | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Set the Trappe | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fuel the Bern | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Professor Snape | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cinderela El Crome | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hammerin Aamer | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5B | 5 | Cumberland River | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2B | 2 | Spieth | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10A | 9 | Wingman | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Battle Midway | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Admiral Blue | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shamcat | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Mr. Buff | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donji | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wonderful Light | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Westwood | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War of Ideas | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Blue | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy T | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polar Jet | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Crocheron Kid | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Son of Mine | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Facade | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Valyrian | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Primo Pentimento | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mutaraamy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lightning Buzz | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ten Twenty Nine | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | O Captainmycaptain | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun for Hire | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adirondack Dream | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tottie Royer | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.