January 19, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maximus Dan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mansoor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Takeoff | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Katy’s Cooper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Boundaries | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Alaskan Son (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Billy Big (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Humor | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Going Rate | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Mighty Manfred | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alittlevodka | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saguaro Row | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bringyourownbottle | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stellar Moon | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s a Julie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Classy Act | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Go Google Yourself | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pocket of Candy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Meadow Gem | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tessa’s Treat | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grandma’s Princess | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can She Scoot | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run to Glory | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Surprenante | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Giant | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mellwood Summer | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notional Star | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catwalk Commando | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sea Vow | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monte Man | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Value | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quality Production | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Barrel Man | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Torres | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pocketball | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warned | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Cause | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Sacred Storm | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Into Mischief | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honor Bar | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ava Atticus | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sundereya | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | One Shot to Win | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Atlantis | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bella Moon | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Samargo | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Mention | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cotton Up | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hellofaguy | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run From the Nun | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucas Henry G | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solanair | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Always His Way | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Girls Life | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’ Cat | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Dame | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chloe Raven | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roussalka | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunaris | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elite Score | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vicks First Pick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Friend to Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Uncommon Cat | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s All Mine | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cork Arm | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shaniko’s Secret | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Letters | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Merry Mike | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Iron Grip | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Ridge | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Pal Kay | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sobriquiet | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aint There No More | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last of the Luck | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zebedee Zered | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.