January 17, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Drop | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Image | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wirey Won | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alex Autumn River | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Time | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Argument | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Ide | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toss the Tub | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freakonthelead | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Daddy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Cat Bullet | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Etbauer’s Ide | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Proud | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Won Again | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ella’s Actor | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Stop Kohen | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Whiskers | 1.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dipper Pines | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Smartica Song | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Loottool | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beerjoint | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Rodeo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Dude | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courtney’s Gift | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Muddy Bayou | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gentleman’s Prize | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bayou Banjo | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Walker the Wiz | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manofsass | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hustle N Jive | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Singer | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moment of Time | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Passion | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First to Score | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clasifrontier | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackson T. | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Avalo Magnificent | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Color Me Pretty | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Silver Oaks | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Fashion Amour | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Putsumdirtonit | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz Gossip | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Sassy Butclassy | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shes a Texan | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Song and a Saint | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maggie True | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diablo Gris | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tee Shaw | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scottish Bu | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Silky Stone | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doc’s Rocket | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hannah Bell | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pray You Catch Me | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixieland Flash | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gia Mama Mia | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cute Little Mess | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeni Lynn’s Pet | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Risque | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | M. B.’s Kiss | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Legendary Larry | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jersey Town Cat | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Train | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top Ice | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captinsdivinepick | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Go Boss | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jaye’s Mr Bling | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Potomac Two Step | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Bulldog | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | North Light Ridge | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Runnin Sky | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salutetheprince | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Low Places | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Gator | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Cal | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Orthodox River | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empty Pages | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zamidue | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gasolina | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Costa Sugar | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toni’s Vow | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Party | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Smart Cat | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midge’s Magic | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Father of Storms | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Strollin | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss a Yankee | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Intimidators Girl | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mila’s Gold | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Call | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honest Smile | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abbie’s Parade | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waitin On the Gold | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Muscadine Wine | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thegrayspider | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crissy Tenpins | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One King’s Rose | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Nilla | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Maid My Point | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.