January 16, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abuela Loca | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Siren | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wee Bonnie Lass | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Here’s Kelly | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Crush | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flowers From Tony | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Discomania | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Type | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Conquest Harlequin | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mo Focused | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Billy Badpay | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Duel At Dusk | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vivid Image | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Iron Bank | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Battery | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Runaway Mistress | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | M J’s Knight | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | British Fields | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mousetrap | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Badaboom | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frenchana | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Truly Blessed | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Henny Strike | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ironbound | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hearty Jones | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brew by You | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Federica | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Venezuela | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of Promise | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Layla’s Voyage | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hear Me Purr | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chessen | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keystone Jones | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blackbirdhasspoken | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Cantaclaro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stand and Salute | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Negrito | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Dublin | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Doddsprivatelabel | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Castaway | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greed Is Good | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Watch My Dust | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aiken Prep | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2X | 4 | County Corrections | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Motherland | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Easy River | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sir Rockport | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Adumato | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bluegrass Express | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bitumen | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ebo Strong | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shipthegrip | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Veblen Good | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rainbows Ahead | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Six Degree | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Phil | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fairybrook | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Richie’s Lady | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Revolving Storm | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosie’s Notion | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Meeting | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Isabella Swift | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 8 | Risque’s Diamond | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Jessica Krupnick | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 10 | She’s Hot Wired | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Tin N Lint | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Burn Control | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | She’s Stunning | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Bertranda | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Vanidosa | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Natural Warrior | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Noble Kent | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | To the Victor | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruble | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Purim’s Gold | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Cat | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Here Comes Gary | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nick’s Posse | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Picozza | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Discovery | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Demon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Curlin Crush | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Am So Jealous | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.