January 15, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ola Gatita | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sand Shark | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Three Eighty Eight | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Ending | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quanique | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rahy’s Bandit | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thirtydaysinjune | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clonedsimmard | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Big Auk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Silberado | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Alpha Team | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Micozzi | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Papi | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pom Freight | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Damon Runyon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Empire Line | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Station | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jaye Jaye | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evaluator | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morning Breez | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Move | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Lilies | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Infield Is In | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trinni Juice | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reign Charger | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior Rose | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | James Ciro | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hong Kong Gardens | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A J’s Way | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pay the Price | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Lotta Wine | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vicki’s Dancer | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Decorator Jenn | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Dividend | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome News | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Won Love | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lemme Rock | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Ruby | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slam Chowder | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bamboo Stick | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Home Run Maker | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tilt | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharpe and Ready | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | St. Augustine | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Hunt | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Egyptian Pioneer | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ten Dollar Hammer | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Throw the Fade | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Corinthian Spirit | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tribecca | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | D’funnything | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saratoga Giro | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giantinthemoonlite | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jewel Can Disco | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We Did | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mighty Zealous | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love That Jazz | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | For Pops | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Interborough S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Divine Miss Grey | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Come Dancing | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heavenly Score | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucy N Ethel | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Going for Broke | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boule | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Littlemissbusiness | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alpine Sky | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kalabaka | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inconclusive | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sir Alfred | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guick | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delta Outlaw | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toohottoevenspeak | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sallisaw | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caniform | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kenyan | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rossie Val | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nut Nut | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Union | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.