January 14, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Woodmans Luck | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Modern Medicine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cutacorner | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rapid Red | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In the Chamber | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broken Key | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ransack | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of All Media | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lu Rae’s Lucky Sky | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Lily Maria | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Nonikas Thunder | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Timuquana Place | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Taylor’s Wildcat | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Bellissima Indy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Louisiana | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Riz | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Booneville Chapel | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Helen Wheels | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runningdowndreams | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Penny Coin Toss | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Theyankeefuse | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinton’s Vin Geaux | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Foolish Girl | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild for Cathrine | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Band | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Social Misfit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Zarb’s Gift | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Krafty Boy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quiet Concert | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Well’s Gold | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | McGehee’s Mercy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ole Skip Rope | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ide Better Move | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Too | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love This Dance | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Loretta | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pam’s Meadow | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Miss | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | That’s a Song | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Good and Sizzlin | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Nearis | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Gorgeous | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vapor Viper | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Gig | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remember Daisy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Machinist | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Frenchie | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Down Bob | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Starship Journey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Super Philly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | City Seduction | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | She’s Coal Fired | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bohemian Bliss | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Elegant Idea | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Angelic Score | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Devine Teaching | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Lola | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Secrets of Summer | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shatorah | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 13 | Nobutzaboutit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Charlie de Hustle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Nothings Changed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Ryman | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Take Charge Easy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Super Factor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Go for Moonshine | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Mesa | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Warleggan | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Wildscore | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Sacred Walk | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yourdecisionotmine | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vanquish | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Snapper Bite | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Too Dim | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zarby’s Derby Day | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Rapidash | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Mocha | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Formidable | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Cast | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancehall Jack | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Why Wear Old Shoes | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.